Tuesday, 20 September 2011
The 2011 Arab revolts are more likely to lead to islam than democracy
I've yet to comment on this year's popular uprisings in various Arab countries (Egypt, Libya, Syria). There's only one point I'd really like to make public right now: the downfall of the old regimes and the recent revolts are much more likely to facilitate the resurgence of hardline islam than the emergence of liberal representative democracy. Arabs just don't do democracy - they do islam; the only democracy in the middle east is Israel and that is likely to remain the case. The scenes in David Lean's classic film Lawrence of Arabia (1962) of the hopeless chaos of the 'Arab Council' in Damascus does come to my mind right now. We are never going to see Arab countries functioning anything like Western democracies - it's sheer fantasy. What remains to be seen is how the upheavals in Arab countries impact upon Israel.
Labels:
Arab spring,
Egypt,
Islam,
Israel,
Libya,
Richard Carvath,
Syria
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